Model: CEPH Lab at Indiana University - CEPH-Rtrend_covid

    Name: Rtrend_covid
    Abbreviation: CEPH-Rtrend_covid
    Owner: covid19hub
    Team name: CEPH Lab at Indiana University
    Description: Renewal equation based on Rt estimation from hospitalization data.
    Contributors: Marco Ajelli (majelli@iu.edu), Paulo C. Ventura (pventura@iu.edu), Maria Litvinova (malitv@iu.edu), Allisandra G. Kummer (alkummer@iu.edu), Alessandro Vespignani (a.vespignani@northeastern.edu)
    License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
    Notes: primary
    Citation: Missing
    Methods: Model forecasts are obtained by using a renewal equation based on the estimated net reproduction number Rt. We used MCMC Metropolis-Hastings sampling to estimate the posterior distribution of Rt based on the data, considering an informed prior on Rt based on COVID-19 literature. Finally, Rt used in the renewal equation is based on a the posterior distribution and trend of the estimated Rt in the three most recent weeks of COVID-19 hospitalization data.
    Home: https://publichealth.indiana.edu/research/faculty-directory/profile.html?user=majelli
    Auxiliary data: Missing

    Forecasts (73)

    Timezero Data Source Upload Time Issued at Version
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    2022-12-12 2022-12-12-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2022-12-13 12:33:18 UTC 2022-12-13 12:33:18 UTC
    2022-12-16 (No data)
    2022-12-18 (No data)
    2022-12-17 (No data)
    2022-12-19 2022-12-19-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2022-12-20 00:41:29 UTC 2022-12-20 00:41:29 UTC
    2022-12-25 (No data)
    2022-12-26 2022-12-26-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2022-12-27 00:43:59 UTC 2022-12-27 00:43:59 UTC
    2022-12-24 (No data)
    2023-01-01 (No data)
    2022-12-31 (No data)
    2023-01-02 2023-01-02-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-01-03 00:36:05 UTC 2023-01-03 00:36:05 UTC
    2023-01-03 (No data)
    2023-01-08 (No data)
    2023-01-07 (No data)
    2023-01-09 2023-01-09-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-01-12 00:45:06 UTC 2023-01-12 00:45:06 UTC
    2023-01-15 (No data)
    2023-01-14 (No data)
    2023-01-16 2023-01-16-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-01-17 00:43:57 UTC 2023-01-17 00:43:57 UTC
    2023-01-22 (No data)
    2023-01-23 2023-01-23-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-01-24 00:44:59 UTC 2023-01-24 00:44:59 UTC
    2023-01-21 (No data)
    2023-01-29 (No data)
    2023-01-28 (No data)
    2023-01-30 2023-01-30-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-01-31 00:48:55 UTC 2023-01-31 00:48:55 UTC
    2023-02-05 (No data)
    2023-02-06 2023-02-06-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-02-07 00:46:06 UTC 2023-02-07 00:46:06 UTC
    2023-02-04 (No data)
    2023-02-12 (No data)
    2023-02-11 (No data)
    2023-02-13 2023-02-13-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-02-14 00:43:23 UTC 2023-02-14 00:43:23 UTC
    2023-02-19 (No data)
    2023-02-18 (No data)
    2023-02-20 2023-02-20-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-02-21 00:38:13 UTC 2023-02-21 00:38:13 UTC
    2023-02-26 (No data)
    2023-02-25 (No data)
    2023-02-27 2023-02-27-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-02-28 00:44:21 UTC 2023-02-28 00:44:21 UTC
    2023-03-05 (No data)
    2023-03-04 (No data)
    2023-03-06 2023-03-06-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-03-06 18:37:03 UTC 2023-03-06 18:37:03 UTC
    2023-03-11 (No data)
    2023-03-12 (No data)
    2023-03-13 2023-03-13-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-03-13 18:39:04 UTC 2023-03-13 18:39:04 UTC
    2023-03-18 (No data)
    2023-03-19 (No data)
    2023-03-20 2023-03-20-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-03-20 18:41:18 UTC 2023-03-20 18:41:18 UTC
    2023-03-27 2023-03-27-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-03-27 18:37:36 UTC 2023-03-27 18:37:36 UTC
    2023-03-26 (No data)
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    2023-04-10 2023-04-10-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-04-10 18:33:37 UTC 2023-04-10 18:33:37 UTC
    2023-04-03 2023-04-03-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-04-10 14:42:07 UTC 2023-04-10 14:42:07 UTC
    2023-04-02 (No data)
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    2023-04-17 2023-04-17-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-04-17 18:38:45 UTC 2023-04-17 18:38:45 UTC
    2023-04-22 (No data)
    2023-04-24 2023-04-24-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-04-25 00:42:14 UTC 2023-04-25 00:42:14 UTC
    2023-04-23 (No data)
    2023-04-29 (No data)
    2023-05-01 2023-05-01-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-05-01 18:38:42 UTC 2023-05-01 18:38:42 UTC
    2023-04-30 (No data)
    2023-05-07 (No data)
    2023-05-08 2023-05-08-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-05-08 18:55:38 UTC 2023-05-08 18:55:38 UTC
    2023-05-13 (No data)
    2023-05-15 2023-05-15-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-05-16 00:49:37 UTC 2023-05-16 00:49:37 UTC
    2023-05-14 (No data)
    2023-05-20 (No data)
    2023-05-22 2023-05-22-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-05-22 18:46:34 UTC 2023-05-22 18:46:34 UTC
    2023-05-21 (No data)
    2023-05-27 (No data)
    2023-05-29 2023-05-29-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-05-30 18:43:32 UTC 2023-05-30 18:43:32 UTC
    2023-05-28 (No data)
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    2023-06-05 2023-06-05-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-06-05 18:49:57 UTC 2023-06-05 18:49:57 UTC
    2023-06-10 (No data)
    2023-06-12 2023-06-12-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-06-12 18:53:51 UTC 2023-06-12 18:53:51 UTC
    2023-06-11 (No data)
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    2023-06-26 2023-06-26-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-06-27 00:49:15 UTC 2023-06-27 00:49:15 UTC
    2023-06-25 (No data)
    2023-07-03 2023-07-03-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-07-03 18:46:05 UTC 2023-07-03 18:46:05 UTC
    2023-07-10 2023-07-10-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-07-10 18:45:53 UTC 2023-07-10 18:45:53 UTC
    2023-07-17 2023-07-17-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-07-17 18:50:59 UTC 2023-07-17 18:50:59 UTC
    2023-07-16 (No data)
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    2023-07-31 2023-07-31-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-07-31 03:26:33 UTC 2023-07-31 03:26:33 UTC
    2023-08-07 2023-08-07-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-08-07 03:28:03 UTC 2023-08-07 03:28:03 UTC
    2023-08-06 (No data)
    2023-08-14 2023-08-14-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-08-14 18:48:29 UTC 2023-08-14 18:48:29 UTC
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    2023-08-21 2023-08-21-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-08-21 18:55:06 UTC 2023-08-21 18:55:06 UTC
    2023-08-28 2023-08-28-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-08-28 18:46:48 UTC 2023-08-28 18:46:48 UTC
    2023-08-27 (No data)
    2023-09-04 2023-09-04-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-09-04 06:55:07 UTC 2023-09-04 06:55:07 UTC
    2023-09-11 2023-09-11-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-09-11 18:50:26 UTC 2023-09-11 18:50:26 UTC
    2023-09-10 (No data)
    2023-09-18 2023-09-18-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-09-18 18:52:28 UTC 2023-09-18 18:52:28 UTC
    2023-09-25 2023-09-25-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-09-25 18:49:19 UTC 2023-09-25 18:49:19 UTC
    2023-10-02 2023-10-02-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-10-02 18:54:52 UTC 2023-10-02 18:54:52 UTC
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    2023-10-09 2023-10-09-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-10-18 18:58:21 UTC 2023-10-18 18:58:21 UTC
    2023-10-16 2023-10-16-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-10-18 18:58:38 UTC 2023-10-18 18:58:38 UTC
    2023-10-23 2023-10-23-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-10-23 18:48:30 UTC 2023-10-23 18:48:30 UTC
    2023-10-30 2023-10-30-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-10-30 18:55:12 UTC 2023-10-30 18:55:12 UTC
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    2023-11-06 2023-11-06-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-11-06 18:56:39 UTC 2023-11-06 18:56:39 UTC
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    2023-11-13 2023-11-13-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-11-14 00:48:26 UTC 2023-11-14 00:48:26 UTC
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    2023-11-20 2023-11-20-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-11-20 18:49:58 UTC 2023-11-20 18:49:58 UTC
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    2023-11-27 2023-11-27-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-11-28 00:43:54 UTC 2023-11-28 00:43:54 UTC
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    2023-12-04 2023-12-04-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-12-04 18:44:54 UTC 2023-12-04 18:44:54 UTC
    2023-12-03 (No data)
    2023-12-11 2023-12-11-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-12-11 18:44:36 UTC 2023-12-11 18:44:36 UTC
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    2023-12-18 2023-12-18-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-12-18 18:47:23 UTC 2023-12-18 18:47:23 UTC
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    2023-12-25 2023-12-25-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2023-12-25 18:41:58 UTC 2023-12-25 18:41:58 UTC
    2024-01-01 2024-01-01-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-01-02 00:45:03 UTC 2024-01-02 00:45:03 UTC
    2023-12-31 (No data)
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    2024-01-08 2024-01-08-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-01-09 00:59:11 UTC 2024-01-09 00:59:11 UTC
    2024-01-07 (No data)
    2024-01-15 2024-01-15-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-01-16 00:47:48 UTC 2024-01-16 00:47:48 UTC
    2024-01-14 (No data)
    2024-01-22 2024-01-22-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-01-22 18:48:18 UTC 2024-01-22 18:48:18 UTC
    2024-01-21 (No data)
    2024-01-29 2024-01-29-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-01-29 18:51:11 UTC 2024-01-29 18:51:11 UTC
    2024-01-28 (No data)
    2024-04-15 2024-04-15-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:22:20 UTC 2024-05-03 14:22:20 UTC
    2024-04-01 2024-04-01-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:22:28 UTC 2024-05-03 14:22:28 UTC
    2024-02-12 2024-02-12-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:22:36 UTC 2024-05-03 14:22:36 UTC
    2024-02-26 2024-02-26-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:22:44 UTC 2024-05-03 14:22:44 UTC
    2024-03-04 2024-03-04-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:22:55 UTC 2024-05-03 14:22:55 UTC
    2024-03-18 2024-03-18-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:02 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:02 UTC
    2024-04-29 2024-04-29-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:09 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:09 UTC
    2024-03-25 2024-03-25-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:16 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:16 UTC
    2024-02-19 2024-02-19-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:24 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:24 UTC
    2024-02-05 2024-02-05-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:33 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:33 UTC
    2024-04-08 2024-04-08-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:41 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:41 UTC
    2024-04-22 2024-04-22-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:50 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:50 UTC
    2024-03-11 2024-03-11-CEPH-Rtrend_covid.csv 2024-05-03 14:23:57 UTC 2024-05-03 14:23:57 UTC
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